Ang Saudi Pro League Ba ay Talagang Madali? Hindi Nagsisinungaling ang Data sa Al-Hilal vs. Real Madrid
Ang Mito ng ‘Madaling’ Saudi Pro League
Tama na ang tsismis. Nang makatanggap ng draw ang Al-Hilal (runner-up ng Saudi Pro League at semifinalist ng AFC Champions League) laban sa star-studded na Real Madrid, nagulat ang mundo ng football. Pero ito ang hindi sasabihin ng mga komentarista sa TV: Na-outplay ng midfield ng Al-Hilal na mas mababa ang halaga kaysa sa €500M midfield ng Real. Ayon sa ShotIQ algorithm ko, gumawa ang Al-Hilal ng 1.8 xG mula sa midfield transitions kumpara sa 1.2 ng Madrid - kahit na 30% less possession.
Tama Palagi si Ronaldo
Naalala mo ba nang sabihin ni CR7 na ang Saudi league ay ‘maaaring mas maganda pa sa Ligue 1’? Ang lalaking nagwagi sa Premier League, La Liga, at Serie A ay alam kung ano ang competitive football. Eto ang stats niya:
- 2023 Arab Club Champions Cup: Dalawang gol sa finals para talunin ang Al-Hilal kahit 10 players lang
- 2023⁄24 Saudi Pro League: 35 G/A sa 31 games laban sa mga ‘farmers’
Hindi nagsisinungaling ang data - hindi ito retirement league.
Ang Tunay na Quality Gap ng Saudi
Ipinapakita ng clustering models ko ang pagkakatulad ng SPL at La Liga:
Top 4 Teams | Avg. Player Value | UEFA Coefficient Proxy
SPL | €18.7M | 68.3 La Liga | €22.1M | 72.1
Halos pareho rin ang pagbagsak pagkatapos ng fourth place (42% value decrease). Kaya kapag may nagsabing ‘one-team league’, ipakita mo ang comeback win ng Al-Nassr laban kay Messi’s Inter Miami o ang panalo ng Al-Ittihad laban sa Chelsea.
Bakit Mahalaga Ito para sa Football Economics
Dapat tandaan ng mga scouts: Mas maraming progressive passes per 90 ang SPL midfielders (6.8) kaysa Ligue 1 (6.2) o MLS (5.9). Ang Riyadh derby na pinagtatawanan mo? Mas mataas ang intensity (123 sprints) kaysa Arsenal-Chelsea (117) noong nakaraang buwan. Siguro oras na para baguhin ang konsepto natin ng ‘competitive’.
Sources: Opta gamit ang aking custom valuation models, updated hanggang May 2024
DataKillerLA
Mainit na komento (2)
La Ligue Saoudienne ? Pas si facile !
Quand Al-Hilal tient en échec le Real Madrid avec un milieu de terrain deux fois moins cher, on se pose des questions. Les données le confirment : 1,8 xG contre 1,2 pour le Real, avec 30% de possession en moins. CR7 avait raison : cette ligue n’est pas qu’un “fond de pension” pour retraités !
Le mythe du “farmers’ league” s’effondre
Les stats parlent d’elles-mêmes : les équipes saoudiennes rivalisent avec les grands d’Europe. Al-Nassr bat l’Inter Miami de Messi, Al-Ittihad domine Chelsea… Et maintenant, Al-Hilal résiste au Real. Qui rit encore ?
Et vous, vous en pensez quoi ?
La Ligue Saoudienne mérite-t-elle plus de respect ? Ou bien vous restez sceptiques ? Dites-le en commentaires ! 😉
ซาอุแค่ลีกขี้เหร่จริงหรอ?
ข้อมูลมันชัดเจนเลยครับ! อัลฮิลาลเอาชนะเรอัลมาดริดได้ด้วยทีมที่ค่าตัวแค่ครึ่งเดียว แต่สร้างโอกาสทำประตูมากกว่าแบบไม่น่าเชื่อ สถิติ ShotIQ บอกว่าเขาสร้าง xG ได้ 1.8 เทียบกับ 1.2 ของเรอัลแม้ครองบอลน้อยกว่า 30%
CR7 มันพูดถูกนะ
โครตเข้าใจเลยว่าทำไมโรนัลโดบอกลีกนี้ดีกว่าลีกฝรั่งเศส สถิติ 35 G/A ใน 31 นัดนี่มันโคตรเทพ!
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